Since
the United Nations inception in October 1945, the primary
goal of the organisation has been the maintenance of international
peace and stability. While the UN and the world have changed
in the last 59 years, this goal has remained the same.
Initially,
the UN was established to prevent international conflicts
between States. Over time it has become evident that civil
conflicts also affect regional and international stability.
Last year Kofi Annan said the "task has become more complex
because of internal civil strife has serious external repercussions".
Consequently the UN monitors the internal affairs of problematic
countries more closely. This enables them to intercede and
diplomatically rectify situations before they escalate into
international predicaments.
Unfortunately
diplomacy does not always work. There are a number of measures,
such as economic sanctions and arms embargos, that the UN
can take that send a clear message of disapproval, while
still keeping communication channels open. If an internal
conflict escalates, UN peacekeeping forces can also be deployed
to monitor the crisis. And, as a last resort, the UN can
expel a member State from the General Assembly. To date
this has never happened.
For
decades now the situation in Burma has been deteriorating,
with one of the world's worst military dictatorships now
well established. And, sadly, the Security Council has not
taken any action against its rulers. A humanitarian crisis
is occurring inside Burma and there is undeniable evidence
of systematic human rights abuses. The junta regularly breaches
international and humanitarian laws and the militarized
disruption of democracy continues. The UN has failed to
influence or impede Burma's military government. In recent
years Burma has refused to co-operate with UN special envoys,
regularly denying them entry visas to the country and ignoring
their efforts to improve Burma's democratic and human rights
situations.
But
this could change. In March this year Kofi Annan proposed
a set of UN Security Council reforms to the General Assembly.
Annan is hoping for the General Assembly to vote in September
to either adopt a new model for the Security Council or
to keep the current structure and composition of the council.
A two-thirds majority is required from the General Assembly
for any proposed reforms to be accepted.
The
prospect of reforms has been met with both positive and
negative reactions. Kofi Annan announced the reforms would
strengthen the UN, making it more powerful in world affairs.
Presently,
the power of the Security Council rests in the hands of
the permanent members. Each permanent member has three options
when considering a motion; they can vote in favour, abstain
from voting, or veto. For a motion to be passed it requires
nine or more votes from members of the council. However,
if one of the permanent members vetoes a motion, it cannot
be passed.
Due
to strong economic ties between Burma and China, any move
by the Security Council against the Burmese junta would
likely be met with a veto from China. Russia has also been
reluctant to deal with the Burma within the Security Council
forum, claiming that it is a matter for the general assembly,
not the council(1). Consequently it is difficult, if not impossible,
for a motion about Burma to be passed by the council.
However,
if the veto power was removed, or if it could be overridden
by other members of the Security Council, a stronger international
stance could be taken on Burma. Unfortunately, in both of
Kofi Annan's proposed Security Council models, the veto
power of the current five permanent members remains the
same.
In
fact Model A, where the number of permanent members would
be increase to 11, specifically stated that the new six
permanent members of the council would have no veto power.
Of the six seats, two will each go to Asia and Africa and
one to Europe and another for the Americas. There would
also be three new non-permanent seats.
In
Model B, there would be no new permanent members added to
the council. Instead eight semi-permanent seats would be
created. These seats would have a four-year term, which
could be renewed at the end. They would not have any veto
power. There would also be one new non-permanent seat.
Consequently,
all moves by the Security Council under the current system,
Model A or Model B, could be blocked by a veto from any
original permanent member. The harsh reality is that for
Burma the proposed changes will not rectify the current
impasse of the permanent Security Council members. Annan
said "It is not going to be possible to remove the veto
of the permanent five members…Many member states would want
to do it but it is not possible. They (permanent members)
are not willing to create additional vetoes." Sadly for
Burma, this means that China and Russia could still stop
any motion being passed(2).
But
the removal of veto power has been widely welcomed by the
public. The BBC Worldwide conducted a survey of 23,500 people
from 23 countries over the proposed reforms. Most respondents
want the Security Council to at least be able to override
the veto power held by the current permanent members .
Doug
Miller, President of GlobScan, the company that conducted
the BBC survey, said the "results suggest that the tight
control of the United Nations by a few countries may soon
be history". Despite the lack of veto reforms, Kofi Annan
still believes that his proposed changes to the Security
Council will make it more representative of the international
community and a more geographically accurate reflection
of the world.
If
the veto was to be removed, the power of the Security Council
would be dispersed into the hands of all the members – not
just those who were powerful when the council was formed
after World War II. While Kofi Annan proposed two models,
he has repeatedly said that it is for the General Assembly
to decide upon what changes to adopt. They could choose
Model A, or Model B, or any other option which resolves
the veto situation.
For
Burma, reforms will mean nothing until the veto issue of
the Security Council is addressed. In a world where actions
speak louder than words, it is time for the international
community to take a stance. In September there will be a
moment in time, where a choice must be made. It will be
a defining moment, where the world will either choose to
make real reforms, or to merely create the impression of
change.