Living Ghosts
The spiraling repression of the Karenni population by the Burmese military junta
Chapter 8: Threats to Regional and International Stability
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Chapter Overview
The situation in Karenni State is not isolated to the geographical boundaries of Karenni territory. The impacts of the situation in Karenni State spill over into, not just neighbouring states and divisions, but to other sovereign states as well. These spill over effects are not small, rather they are substantial transnational effects, which threaten to destabilise regional and international peace and security.
In this chapter:
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8.1 What is a Threat to Security?
When examining threats to security, it is necessary to look
beyond the traditional threats, such as an external hostile
threat, to more non-traditional threats, for example health
issues. As the global community continues to develop and as
countries become more interdependent, the non-traditional
threats to peace and security are more likely to have an increased
destabilising impact. ASEAN has recognised this and is currently
in the process of developing a comprehensive regional security
plan, which will look at traditional and non-traditional threats
to peace and attempt to address these issues.75
The United Nations Security Council has the power to determine
a threat to peace, under Chapter VII, Article 39 of the UN
Charter. Threats to peace and security are determined on a
case-by-case basis – there are no set criteria. Situations
within a country’s national boundaries that were previously
deemed as a threat to international peace and security by
the UNSC can serve as a guide. These include:
- Overthrow of a democratically elected government
- Conflict between the central government and ethnic factions
- Widespread humanitarian crisis and human rights violations
- Overflow of refugees
- Drug Productions and trafficking
It must be noted that for some of these factors the situation
in Burma is worse than in other countries where the UNSC passed
a resolution.
| Country |
Resolution |
Overthrow of a Democratic Government |
Conflict among Factions |
Humanitarian Crisis or Human Rights Abuses |
Refugee Outflow | Other (Drugs) | Other (HIV/AIDS) |
| Sierra Leone | SC 1132 (1997) | X
| X |
X | X
| | |
| Afghanistan | SC 1076 (1996) | |
X | X
| X | | |
| Yemen | SC 924 (1994) | |
X |
X | | | |
| Haiti | SC 841 (1993) |
X | |
X | X
| | |
| Rwanda | SC 812 (1993) | |
X | X
| X
| | |
| Liberia | SC 788 (1992) | |
X | X
| | | |
| Cambodia | SC 668 (1990) | |
X | | | | |
| Burma |
- |
X | X | X | X | X | X |
8.2 How is the Situation in Karenni State
a Threat to Security?
8.2.1 Exodus of People (refugees and migrants)
“In March 2006 about
one hundred Karenni villagers from the Shan-Karenni border
and Loikaw Township fled to the Thailand because of increased
militarisation near their villages. There were more human
rights abuses following the military’s increased presence
in the area” – T-- M-- said.
There are estimated 700,000-registered
refugees from Burma living in Thailand, India, Bangladesh
and Malaysia.77 In addition to the registered refugees there
are also millions of Burmese migrants who are living either
legally or illegally outside of their nation. The vast majority
of these migrant workers can be classed as refugees under
the 1951 Refugee Convention. However, as none of Burma’s
neighbours are a signatory to this international convention,
they are not obliged to provide protection for those seeking
asylum. Refugees within these countries are there at the
discretion of the national government.
Of the 155,802 registered refugees living
in Thailand, people from Karenni are the second largest
group with an approximately 13 per cent of all refugees
coming from the geographically small state. Most of the
refugees from Karenni State reside in two camps near Mae
Hong Son in northern Thailand. The two camps house nearly
23,000 refugees.78
The exodus of people from Karenni State
is a result of the protracted civil war, human rights violations
and humanitarian crisis caused by the actions of the SPDC
and their predecessors. People fleeing Karenni State for
Thailand puts pressure on the Thai authorities to provide
them with shelter, food, clothing, health care (including
clean drinking water and sanitation) and access to education.
For a country that faces severe poverty issues taking on
the burden of thousands of additional people is a big commitment.
As these populations cross international
boundaries they bring with them diseases and illness that
can be transferred to the local people. Populations along
Burma’s borders with Bangladesh, India, China, Laos and
Thailand are susceptible to HIV/AIDS, drug resistant malaria
and drug resistant tuberculosis that are coming from Burma,
along with the people. Additionally, sick populations that
have migrated to a new country add stress on the national
health care system and non-governmental organisations that
provide medical services – stretching their already thin
resources further.
8.2.2 Ongoing Civil War
The protracted conflict in Karenni State
has been ongoing for over fifty years. Communities have
been caught in the crossfire between State and Non-State
actors for half a century. Entire generations have grown
up without ever knowing peace. The increased militarisation
of the area has led to an increase prevalence of injuries
from landmines, bullet wounds and soldier violence (beatings,
etc.). Entire communities have been destroyed with over
3,000 villages being destroyed between 1996 and 2006 in
eastern Burma – nearly one village per day for a decade.79
8.2.3 Human Rights Violations
“Human rights violations
cause people from Burma to constantly flee to borderline
areas and many stories we hear from grassroots people reveal
how hard it is to survive in a country where there is no
justice or rule of law,” – T--- M-- said.
Human rights violations have a huge impact
on regional security. The systematic and continual violation
of rights is often a significant contributing factor to
people crossing the border and seeking asylum in another
country. Human rights abuses are not infrequent occurrences.
Over the past six years, there has been an increase in the
incidence of abuses and their severity, particularly forced
labour, land confiscation, arbitrary taxation and destruction
of property (including food supplies and/or crops). As villagers
try to continue living in their communities, it becomes
increasing more difficult, as they slip further into poverty,
until they are simply unable to survive. Some will then
choose to cross the border and seek asylum, while others
may turn to alternative income sources such as growing poppies
and a portion of the population will continue to stay where
they are hoping that the situation will change becoming
one of the millions of people living under the control of
the SPDC.
8.2.4 Drugs
At present
the Sino-Myanmar border area is being flooded with
drugs, posing a huge danger to the society and people,
– Chinese Prime Minister
Wen Jiabao85 |
The impact of drug production in Karenni State cannot be
isolated from the impact of Burma’s drug problem. In 2003
26 million people use amphtamines, methamphetamines or related
substances and there were 16 million opiate users worldwide.80
The majority of the global production and trafficking of
ATS occurs in southeast Asia and Burma is a primary supplier
for this market.81 Burma and Afghanistan vie for the top
position each year as the world’s leading opium and heroin
producers. This ranking has resulted in much criticism from
the international community, and the SPDC has begun working
with the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC)
on a drug eradication programme, which includes a crop-substitution
project.
The majority of drugs produced in Burma,
be it opium, heroin or ATS are exported through a number
of land routes to Thailand, India and China, and other nations
via sea. Among youth in Thailand there is a very serious
ATS problem with one third of drug users in the kingdom
being under the age of 16,82 in 2004 more than half of registered
addicts in China used drugs produced in Burma83 and in India’s
northeast Burma is this regions primary drug source, as
drugs can be transported from Burma into Manipur, Mizoram
and Nagaland easily.84
The trafficking of drugs from Burma has
contributed to the spread of HIV/AIDS in the region, which
can be seen in China and India (covered in more detail in
the next section). Most drug users admit to part taking
in crimes, including extremely violent acts, while under
the influence or in order to support their drug habit. Additionally
the hospital costs for addicts who have injured themselves
or are suffering from drug-induced psychoses take a toll
on the public health care systems of their States. Furthermore,
the costs associated with drug eradication programmes, police
efforts to combat drug related crimes, cleaning up methamphetamine
labs, and on a more human side rehabilitation projects,
and looking after families, especially children, affected
by drug abuses also impacts on regional stability.
8.2.5 HIV/AIDS
Now we
find more soldiers dying to HIV/AIDS than to bullets
fired by militants,
Lieutenant General Bhopinder Singh, Director General
of Assam Rifles statement on HIV/AIDS problems encountered
by soldiers engaged in anti-insurgency operations
in India’s northeastern States |
Similarly, with the drug trade in Karenni State, the risk
to security that HIV/AIDS poses is linked with that of the
entire country. Burma itself is facing a widespread HIV/AIDS
epidemic, with approximately 1.3 per cent of the population,86
aged 15 to 49, having the disease – one of the highest rates
in Asia. Despite this the SPDC budgeted only US $22,000
for their national HIV/AIDS programme in 2004.87
Burma’s HIV/AIDS epidemic transcends national
borders and direct links can be made between Burma’s drug
trade and the spread of HIV/AIDS. Surmountable evidence
supports that China’s HIV/AIDS epidemic originated in Yunnan
cities along the Sino-Burma border. The evidence also shows
that HIV was introduced through sharing needles while consuming
intravenous drugs from Burma.88 Furthermore, 80 per cent
of China’s HIV/AIDS incidents occur along drug routes from
Burma.89 Similar information is being collected in India.
A joint report from UNODC and the Indian government said,
“Northeastern states which are distant from the Myanmar
border have generally fewer episodes of heroin injecting
compared to the sates which are closer to the border. Thus,
there is a direct correlation between proximity to the border
and drug abuse. Injecting drug users represent a significant
incubus for the indirect spread of HIV to people who have
never used drugs”.9
In 2000 the United Nations Security Council,
in an attempt to bring international attention to the HIV/AIDS
crisis, passed a resolution seeking to raise awareness of
the HIV/AIDS pandemic. This resolution, Security Council
Resolution 1308, considered the threat that the HIV/AIDS
pandemic posses to international stability and security.91
Footnotes
75 ASEAN Security Community Plan of Action,
signed in 2003
76 “Threat to Peace Report”, DLA Piper Rudnick Gary Cary,
September 2005
77“The Security Dimension”, Burma Issues and Concerns Vol
4, Altsean, April 2007
78 TBBC Website, August 29th, 2007, figures from the end
of July
79 Reports from community based organisations regarding
the large-scale destruction of villages has been recently
collaborated by the Science and Human Rights Program “High
Resolution Satellite Imagery of the Conflict in Burma”,
American Association for the Advancement of Science.
80 “World Drug Report 2005”, UNODC, 2006, “ATS: A Need for
Speed”, Altsean Burma, July 2006
81 “ATS: A Need for Speed”, Altsean Burma, July 2006
82 Taipei Times, Asian States run out of patience with Myanmar,
October 11, 2005
83 Mizzima, Opium production decreases but amphetamines
increase in Burma, March 3rd, 2004
84 Mizzima, Burma the main source of drugs for India’s northeast,
May 30, 2006
85 China urges Myanmar to step up anti-drug efforts, AFT,
Feb 15, 2006
86 “The Silent Dismantling of a Nation: The impacts of HIV/AIDS
in Burma”, Burma Issues Newsletter, October 2005
87 “Responding to AIDS, TB, Malaria and Emerging Infectious
Diseases in Burma”, John Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public
Health, March 2006
88 “The Security Dimension”, Burma Issues and Concerns Vol
4, Altsean, April 2007
89 “Threat to the Peace Report”, DLA Piper Rudnick Gray
Cary, September 2005
90 “Drugs flow from Myanmar fuels northeast HIV epidemic:
UN”, Indo-Asian News Service, May 30th, 2006
91 UN Security Council Resolution 1308, S/RES/1308, July
17th, 2000
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